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Natural disaster plans may aid businesses’ pandemic response
Monica Allen

Natural disaster plans may aid businesses’ pandemic response

The social and economic impacts of COVID-19 have battered small- and medium-sized enterprises, putting millions of jobs in the U.S. at risk. And a year rife with natural disasters has not done the many already struggling businesses any favors.

To learn about the strategies and experiences of businesses managing this double threat, researchers at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), in collaboration with NOAA’s Climate Program Office, surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises across the country. In a new report of survey results, nearly a quarter of businesses felt natural disaster preparations helped them address COVID-19. Preparations, like telework readiness, that are applicable to different types of disruptions tended to be more useful than disaster-specific measures.

The survey also identified areas of hardship for businesses, including a sense of uncertainty and a lack of guidance and resources.

Outdoor dining

Outdoor dining

Restaurants, hard hit during COVID-19, have promoted outdoor dining as one way to sustain business. Credit: Pixabay, Pasja1000

“The survey results can help by drawing attention to how small- and medium-sized businesses are thriving or suffering and showing where natural-disaster planning and preparation helped,” said Ariela Zycherman, NOAA social scientist with CPO’s Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments (RISA) Program and co-author of the report. “The results will also help us identify places where there are needs and opportunities to build social and economic resilience to multiple types of disasters.”

Disaster planning helped, but many still struggled

NIST and CPO conducted the survey from July 8 to Aug. 8, reaching businesses with fewer than 10 to over 100 employees in every U.S. Census region from a wide array of industries, including construction, manufacturing and retail. With help from NOAA’s RISA research teams, Sea Grant network, and Weather-Ready Nation Ambassadors, as well as other entities including the Minority Business Development Agency, Small Business Administration, NYC office of Small Business Services, and U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation, the researchers promoted the survey via email, newsletter, and social media, obtaining over 1300 responses.

In the survey, the team asked businesses about challenges COVID-19 presented and measures taken to manage them. They also inquired about experiences with sudden, high-impact disasters, such as hurricanes, earthquakes and wildfires, and longer-lasting, slower-onset events, including droughts and winter storms.

Small businesses suffer

Small businesses suffer

Businesses that rely on in-person customers, including service businesses, are facing particularly grave threats during the pandemic. Many have been forced to close. Credit: Pixabay, Queven

Twenty-nine percent of respondents said they experienced natural disasters since March 13, when the federal government declared the pandemic a national emergency. The researchers expect this figure would be much higher had the survey been distributed later, however, as events such as the wildfires along the West Coast, surged after the survey closed on Aug. 8.

Some 24 percent of survey respondents said experience preparing for natural disasters in the past helped them during the COVID-19 pandemic. Practices with broad applicability shone through over those specific to one kind of disaster. Two notable examples were having rainy-day funds for when income streams dry up and the ability to operate a business remotely, said Jennifer Helgeson, a NIST research economist and lead author of the report.

One respondent wrote, “We have dealt with many weather emergencies in the past as well [as] a bad flu pandemic, all of which prepared us for something like COVID-19, especially as it relates to teleworking. Our employees have been used to teleworking during emergencies.”

Many businesses have not made a smooth transition, however. Smaller operations that rely on in-person customers, such as in the service industry, face a particularly grave threat in COVID-19, which has eaten away at customer bases for lengths of time these businesses were not prepared for.

Businesses fear future disasters, long COVID recovery

The outlook for many of the surveyed businesses is currently worrisome, as 72% are concerned about heading into another distressing scenario on top of the pandemic. Almost a third of these businesses are wary of natural disasters specifically. A strong sense of uncertainty also looms over numerous businesses — a sense that may be compounded by a lack of resources, a situation reported by 37% of respondents.

The researchers found that businesses are commonly struggling to obtain guidance on prioritizing their actions amidst the strains of the pandemic, personal protective equipment, and training on how to receive support from financial institutions and lending personnel.

A large portion of businesses anticipate a long road ahead before returning to pre-COVID operating capacity. While 39% said they believe recovery will take less than 18 months, 23% estimate the process will go on for longer. And nearly a fifth of respondents indicated full recovery as an unlikely outcome, no matter the time frame, with many now considering early retirement.

Future survey will capture extended impacts of complex disasters

The researchers plan to complement the data from this initial report by distributing another survey in the winter to both previously contacted and new businesses. The second survey will collect information about how businesses operating in a pandemic respond to events expected in the near future, including winter storms and the flu season, Helgeson said. Further study might also identify where and how businesses are currently receiving aid.

“I do think there will be more of a focus on understanding if there are certain attributes of the business, whether it be employee size or ownership demographics, that can correlate loosely with the kinds of support they've received or the places they're asking for support,” Helgeson said. “Is it more about friends and family or is it more about small-business loans? And how might this change if they experience a natural disaster during the pandemic?”

For agencies and institutions committed to supporting small- and medium-sized enterprises for resilience planning and adaptation, the data from this and any subsequent reports could enhance strategies to reach vulnerable populations and deliver some certainty during a deeply uncertain time.

View the report for more survey results. If you would like to participate in the second survey, please contact: SMEresearch@nist.gov  

Media contacts:

Monica Allen, NOAA Communications
202-379-6693, monica.allen@noaa.gov

Jonathan Griffin, NIST Public Affairs Office
301- 975-4117, jmgriffin@nist.gov                                                                                                                                 

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