Tuesday, October 17, 2017
 

Ocean temperatures may hold key to predicting tornado outbreaks

Research by NOAA and partners may be key to seasonal outlooks for regional tornado outbreaks

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Tornados are one of nature’s most destructive forces. Currently, our capacity to predict tornados and other severe weather risks does not extend beyond seven days. In a recent paper published in Environmental Research Letters, scientists with NOAA and the University of Miami identified how patterns in the spring phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), coupled with variability in North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, could help predict U.S. regional tornado outbreaks. 

NOAA launches unprecedented effort to discover how El Niño affects weather

Pacific research goal is to improve accuracy of weather forecasts and models

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NOAA scientists and partners have embarked on a land, sea, and air campaign in the tropical Pacific to study the current El Niño and gather data in an effort to improve weather forecasts thousands of miles away.